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A currency collapse occurs when a nation’s currency depreciates significantly over a short period, causing economic downturns and lasting repercussions. Causes include speculative attacks, government debt, runaway inflation, and government intervention. Recovery is difficult, as devaluation leads to rising costs and reluctance from other nations to invest.
A currency collapse is a situation where the value of a nation’s currency depreciates significantly over a short period of time. As the value declines, it could contribute to a broader economic downturn and have lasting repercussions. Currency collapse has been implicated in several financial crises, including the spectacular freefall of the Icelandic economy in 2008 and the Asian financial crisis of the 1990s.
At any given time, many different types of currency are being used around the world. Domestically, people tend to use a specific currency backed and printed by the government, and nations may also trade internationally in currency or currency futures. For example, a British investor might decide that the value of the Japanese yen will rise and decide to invest in the yen with a view to selling it later. Nations also use their currency for legal tender; the South African government, for example, may pay for goods and services in the rand, its own currency, or it may choose to use another form of currency as payment.
A wide variety of things can cause a currency to crash. One cause is a speculative attack, in which people perceive a drop in value in the future, so they choose to sell their currency to avoid losses. As they sell currency, the value starts to decline, especially if the government has a fixed exchange rate, which will force them to buy excess currency to keep the exchange rate stable. As the currency’s value decreases, people start to panic, selling more and more of their reserves and causing the value to drop even further.
Speculative attacks are often spurred by the disclosure of large amounts of government debt. The attack could be detrimental to a national government because it will not be able to pay its debt as its currency has devalued so radically. In some cases, international agencies such as the World Bank can step in to provide assistance and advice to prevent a country’s currency value from falling below a certain level.
Sometimes runaway inflation can also lead to a currency collapse, as well as certain moves by governments such as radically changing interest rates. Amazingly, these measures are often taken to prevent a currency collapse or financial problem, but sometimes the results of government intervention can be unpredictable.
Once a currency collapse occurs, it can be difficult for a nation to recover. The country’s residents find that their economies have devalued overnight, leaving them with nothing, and the cost of goods can rise dramatically as a nation is forced to pay much more for imported goods. Because of the devaluation, other nations are reluctant to invest in the country or its currency, creating a double bind in which the nation needs economic movement to escape the currency crisis, but cannot achieve that movement without a stable currency.
Asset Smart.
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