What are Pred Markets?

Prediction markets allow people to predict the probability of events and make money on accurate predictions. Examples include Intrade, Betfair, and Hollywood Stock Exchange. They use collective betting to reward accurate predictions and punish inaccurate ones. Some use imaginary money, but studies show they can still be successful. Prediction markets date back to the 1940s […]

Pred. Validity: what it is?

Predictive validity measures how well a test predicts future performance by comparing it to known criteria. College entrance tests are an example, but there are weaknesses, including missing data and potential bias. Statistical significance is difficult to calculate, but it is commonly used in psychological studies and by companies to evaluate prospective employees. Predictive validity […]

Skip to content