Peak gas is the idea that natural gas production will eventually peak and decline due to increasing demand and its non-renewable nature. The theory has been supported by data, although new deposits have been found. It can apply to individual countries and regions, and predictions for the world’s peak vary. Conservation and renewable energy can also affect peak natural gas production.
Peak gas is a concept that suggests that world natural gas production will eventually peak, after which it will show exponential decline. This is due to the fact that world demand for energy has increased, while natural gas is a non-renewable fossil fuel. The peak fossil fuel theory was first introduced in the 1950s and has been supported by data collected over the years. New deposits of natural gas have been found, although the rate of discovery peaked around the 1970s. The theory behind peak gas itself is most commonly associated with the idea of peak oil.
Natural gas is an important source of energy and supplies about 25% of the world’s energy needs each year. Demand continues to increase, and fewer new discoveries are made with each passing decade. It is not known when the world will peak gas, although peak natural gas discovery was reached in the 1960s or 1970s. New reserves are still being found, although more were discovered in the 1970s than in the next three decades combined.
The idea of peak gas is often used in reference to world production, but it can also be applied to individual countries and regions. Many countries, such as Italy, were once net exporters of natural gas but have since reached peak production levels. Other countries estimate that they have reached the limit of their production but have not yet become net importers. The Netherlands may have reached its peak gas around 2007, although it continued to be a net exporter.
In the United States, various individuals and organizations have offered different predictions of peak natural gas production. Original estimates suggested peak production would occur in the 1970s, although further resource discoveries have resulted in increased production several times over. Similar situations have occurred in other countries of the world as new discoveries have led to localized increases in gas production.
It is not known when the world’s peak gas will occur, and several organizations have provided a number of possible dates. New discoveries have pushed back the probable date, although the rate of finding new reserves has decreased. Conservation and advances in renewable energy can also affect peak natural gas production in a number of ways. Cheaper renewable energy sources can cause natural gas production to decline not because of a lack of supply, but because of the presence of less expensive energy sources.
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