What’s the Laffer curve?

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The Laffer curve shows the relationship between tax rates and revenue, with a maximum point known as ‘T’. Finding the exact rate of T is difficult for governments, and lowering tax rates may not always increase revenue. The curve is based on the premise that wealth accumulation is the driving mechanism behind it.

The Laffer curve is an economic model that shows the relationship of tax rates to tax revenue as envisioned by economist Arthur Laffer. The model is most commonly shown in the perfect shape of a bell curve, but the actual reality could be different. The theory was first put forth in 1974, and legend has it that Laffer drew the curve on a cocktail napkin for a pair of Washington power brokers.

The basic premise of the Laffer curve states that if the tax rate is zero, revenue is zero. If the tax rate is 100 percent, there is no tax revenue either, simply because people have no incentive to work in a free society. The theory also postulates that there is a maximum point at which tax rates will produce the maximum amount of revenue. Anything less or more than that rate will reduce revenue.

The point at which revenue is maximized on the Laffer curve is known as ‘T’. As a practical matter, finding the exact rate of T is difficult for governments. This is not only because the optimal income tax rate itself is hard to find, but also because there are other taxes to consider, such as sales and property taxes. Also, national moods toward taxes can change from time to time, such as in times of war when nationalist sentiments may run highest.

When considering tax policy, a country may have some politicians who argue that the national tax rate is at the value T, and others who argue that it is one way or the other. Whether it’s stated that way or not, this is often the crux of the battle. In most cases, the only way to know for sure is to simply implement a value and watch the income. If the desired results are not produced, adjustments may be necessary.

The Laffer Curve is often mischaracterized by those who are anti-tax or fight for lower taxes, as they claim that lowering tax rates will increase revenue. The curve shows that may be true up to a point, but only if tax rates are already so high that they stifle revenue growth. If the point on the curve is to the left of the T value, lowering rates will further reduce tax revenue.

Wealth accumulation is the driving mechanism behind the Laffer curve. In most cases, where people are free to choose whether to work, the Laffer curve may be a conceivable model. In countries where people are forced to work by threat or force, the curve cannot work. People in those countries are not motivated to work for personal wealth, even if they have a government stipend. Rather, they are more motivated to work for personal safety.

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